A recession is defined as a significant decline in general economic activity lasting usually more than a few months although we've seen exceptions.
When it comes to investments, the impact of a recession can vary significantly depending on whether it is considered to be a strong recession or a soft landing. Let’s take a look at how each type of recession can impact your investments.
A Strong Recession
A strong recession is one that has an extended duration, causing widespread economic disruption and typically resulting in an overall decrease in the stock market. During this type of recession, investors often face losses due to stock market volatility as well as declining bond yields, both of which can have serious implications for their investments. In addition, businesses may suffer from lower sales revenue and decreased profits due to reduced consumer spending. This can lead to layoffs and increased unemployment levels, making it even more difficult for investors to maintain their portfolios during such times.
This type of recession is also usually longer and can lead to a financial crisis like the one we saw in 2008. These days as many talk about the recession, those who lived through the last crisis wait in fear. However, many economists think this recession we're living won't be a strong one.
A Soft Landing Recession
A soft-landing recession is one that is relatively short-lived and does not cause severe economic disruption.
During this type of recession, investors may experience only mild losses on their investments or big losses that are recuperated fast due to the limited volatility in the markets and lack of large-scale layoff announcements by companies or strong employment data despite everything.
Thus, while there may still be some declines in certain sectors or industries, these losses will generally be smaller than those experienced during a strong recession. Due to the limited duration of this type of event, investors are often able to quickly recover their losses once the economy begins its recovery process. This is what some economists are pointing out as a possible outcome in today's economy. Others think it will be something in between.
How to act during a recession?
Ultimately, understanding how different types of recessions can affect your investments is key when determining how you should manage them during such times. For instance, if you are facing a strong recession with long-term economic disruptions and volatility in the markets, it may be wise to adjust your portfolio accordingly or seek professional advice from an experienced wealth manager or real estate professional who can help guide you through these trying times.
On the other hand, if you are experiencing only minor losses due to a soft landing situation then you may want to wait until conditions improve before making any major changes to your portfolio strategy or talk with your advisor to see what opportunities you can take advantage off if economic recovery seems imminent so you can hop on that growth wave. Ultimately, all investor decisions should be based on careful research and sound financial advice tailored specifically for each individual investor’s unique needs and goals.
Got any questions? Contact our team at Private Equity Solutions.
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